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Methane Outcome Bonds (MOB)

The Fastest, Most Scalable Path to Real Emissions Reduction

What is The Methane Outcome Bond (MOB)?

A CTBG-Aligned Instrument for High-Impact Transition Finance

The Methane Outcome Bond (MOB) is a use-of-proceeds transition bond that finances methane and flaring abatement, with an optional outcome-based return tied to verified reductions.

Methane abatement delivers more near-term climate benefit than any other intervention, and 74% of reductions in oil & gas can be achieved at zero or negative cost. MOB transforms these measurable outcomes into financial instruments using ICMA-aligned structures and transparent ETS pricing.

  •       A new transition-finance architecture built for the highest-impact climate opportunity in the global energy system.
  •       The Methane Outcome Bond issues just like a standard corporate or sovereign bond, the only additions are CTBG use-of-proceeds requirements and the optional, reward-only outcome supplement.

How It Works

1
Standard Bond Structure
Proceeds fund methane-abatement projects aligned with ICMA’s Climate Transition Bond Guidelines.
2
Engineering-Based Measurement
Baselines and reductions are verified through established MRV frameworks (OGMP 2.0, EPA GHGRP, EU ETS MRV).
3
Outcome Supplement
Investors receive upside linked to verified methane reductions priced at regulated ETS allowance values.

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The Opportunity at a Glance

  • US$ 90–120 billion in annual CTBG-eligible methane & flaring abatement capex
  • Up to 0.3°C of avoided warming by the 2040s from methane reduction alone
  • US$ 45–75 billion in annual monetizable gas recovery
  • Only 8–12 billion currently financed, leaving ~90% of the market untouched

Why MOB

  • Converts verified methane reduction into market-priced financial value
  • Creates perfect issuer–investor alignment through outcome-linked upside
  • Compliant with ICMA’s Climate Transition Bond Guidelines
  • Eliminates reliance on the voluntary carbon market and resolves SLB incentive asymmetry

MOB Structure

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• Senior unsecured bond issued at market credit spreads

• Proceeds restricted to methane and flaring abatement projects

• Fully aligned with ICMA Climate Transition Bond Guidelines (CTBG)

• Fits cleanly within IFRS SPPI requirements and fixed-income mandates

• No penalties, step-ups, or embedded derivatives — plain-vanilla debt structure

• Facility-level baselines established using regulatory reporting frameworks:
‣ OGMP 2.0 Level 4/5
‣ EPA GHGRP Subpart W
‣ EU ETS Monitoring & Reporting Regulation (MRR)

• Independent, accredited engineering firms verify reductions annually

• Measurement based on actual methane intensity improvements, not modeled KPIs

• Eliminates definitional ambiguity (“green vs transition”) through empirical data

• Creates a repeatable, auditable pathway for annual reporting

• Optional investor supplement tied to verified methane reductions

• Calculated using liquid, exchange-traded ETS allowance prices (EU ETS, WCI, etc.)

• Outcome formula: Verified Reduction × ETS Price × Outcome Coefficient

Investors gain upside-only exposure to real emissions performance

• Issuers benefit from lower ETS-allowance purchase requirements and improved credit profile

• Replaces SLB-style penalties with mutual financial alignment

Why Traditional Instruments Haven’t Scaled Methane Finance

Transition finance has structural gaps that prevent capital from reaching the highest-impact emissions reductions.

Core Problems:

  • Implementation Gap: Companies publish transition plans but lack instruments that tie financing to execution.
  • Definitional Ambiguity: “Transition” vs. “green” categories are unclear, slowing issuance and increasing scrutiny risk.
  • Broken Incentives in SLBs: Penalty-based structures reward underperformance and erode investor confidence.
  • VCM Limitations: Voluntary carbon markets are too small, too fragmented, and too uncertain for institutional capital.

The Entoro MOB Process

A Straightforward, Capital-Markets Process

The Methane Outcome Bond issues just like a standard corporate or sovereign bond, the only additions are CTBG use-of-proceeds requirements and the optional, reward-only outcome supplement. Entoro guides issuers through a simple, capital-markets-driven process that requires no SPV, no securitization, and no changes to the issuer’s existing debt program.

Define the Transaction

Identify methane and flaring-abatement projects to be financed and confirm they meet CTBG transition criteria.

Align issuance with the issuer’s treasury strategy, debt program, and transition plan disclosures.

Establish Eligibility & Baselines

Prepare the ICMA-aligned use-of-proceeds framework and confirm SPPI compliance for a senior unsecured bond.

Collect facility-level methane data and document the baseline that will be used for year-over-year verification.

Set the Measurement Approach

Select the MRV standard (OGMP 2.0, EPA GHGRP Subpart W, or EU ETS MRV) that will govern annual reporting.

Engage accredited engineers to validate baseline methods, quantification tools, and expected reduction pathways.

Structure the Bond

Determine size, tenor, coupon, and the optional outcome-supplement formula linked to verified methane reductions.

Model outcome-payment scenarios using regulated ETS allowance prices and conservative reduction intervals.

 Execute & Report

Market the bond’s credit profile, CTBG alignment, and outcome mechanics to institutional investors before execution.

Provide annual reporting on proceeds allocation and publish verified methane-reduction outcomes that drive the supplement.

James C. Row
Managing Partner, ENTORO

View the complete Regulation A ten-part video series! In the series, Chris Graebe discusses the impact that Entoro can have on the outcome of your Reg A campaign.

View the Regulation A Video Series

 Eligible Uses of Proceeds

MOB proceeds fund high-integrity methane-reduction activities recognized under the ICMA Climate Transition Bond Guidelines.

Core Categories:

  • Leak Detection & Repair: Higher-frequency inspections, continuous monitoring, rapid repairs.
  • Pneumatics Upgrades: Replacement of high-bleed devices and controllers to eliminate routine venting.
  • Flaring Abatement: Flare-gas capture, reinjection, and improvements that reduce or eliminate routine flaring.
  • Compressor & Pipeline Integrity: Seal upgrades, leak remediation, and system optimization.
  • Venting & Tank Controls: Vapor-recovery systems and equipment upgrades that reduce tank and process emissions.
  • MRV Systems: Monitoring and verification tools required for CTBG-compliant reporting.

Why Investors Buy MOB

Investor Advantages

Upside from Verified Outcomes

Returns linked to real methane reductions valued at transparent ETS allowance prices.

High-Integrity MRV

Engineering-grade measurement and third-party verification reduce methodology and reporting risk.

No VCM Exposure

Avoids the volatility, fragmentation, and credibility issues of voluntary carbon markets.

Standard Credit Profile

Base bond remains plain-vanilla debt suitable for fixed-income mandates and prudential frameworks.

Alignment, Not Penalties

Performance incentives are positive-only, avoiding SLB-style asymmetry.

Why Issuers Use MOB

Issuer Benefits

Immediate ROI

Methane and flaring abatement often generate cost savings through reduced product loss and lower ETS-allowance requirements.

Outcome-Linked Signal

Verified reductions improve credibility with regulators, investors, and rating agencies.

CTBG Alignment

Supports compliance with ICMA transition-finance standards and emerging methane regulations.

No Penalty Structure

Upside-only design avoids the credit-risk issues found in SLBs.

Scalable Capital Access

Standard bond format fits within existing debt programs and treasury operations.

Global MOB Market Opportunity

A Large, Underfinanced Transition-Capital Segment

The Scale

• US$ 140–180 billion annual global methane-abatement requirement
• US$ 90–120 billion CTBG-eligible subset (oil & gas methane + flaring)
• Represents one of the largest near-term transition-finance categories in the energy system

The Gap

Only US$ 8–12 billion currently financed each year
• Leaves ~90% of required capital unmet despite strong economics
• Creates a multi-decade issuance pipeline for standardized transition instruments

Why MOB Fits

Outcome-contingent structure channels capital into measurable, high-ROI reductions
• Transparent ETS pricing supports institutional modeling, valuation, and hedging
• Enables sovereigns, NOCs, and corporates to finance methane at scale through familiar bond formats

Global Rules Accelerating Methane-Focused Capital Deployment

European Union

• EU Methane Regulation (2025–2030): Requires imported oil & gas to meet strict MRV and methane-intensity standards.

• EU ETS Expansion (2026):
Methane included for maritime transport; increases compliance cost for high-emitting operations.

North America

• U.S. & Canada Methane Rules: New methane-fee structures, monitoring requirements, and upstream reporting obligations.

• California/WCI Cap-and-Trade:
Methane-related emissions priced through allowance obligations for fuel suppliers.

Global Frameworks

• OGMP 2.0: Sets the benchmark for methane measurement and disclosure used by major producers.

• IFRS S2:
Strengthens climate-risk reporting and demands higher-quality emissions data.

Why It Matters

These regulations create immediate capital-deployment needs, elevate MRV standards, and increase the financial cost of inaction, making MOB a compliant, market-ready financing channel.

Why Entoro

Entoro brings a full capital-markets consortium to every transition-finance transaction, integrating investment banking, advisory, transfer-agency, ratings, registry capabilities, and a commodity pool operator (CPO) into a single platform. Through Entoro, Capturiant, Clear Rating, our distribution partners, and our internal structuring team, issuers gain a complete, end-to-end solution for natural-capital finance. Whether structuring NCS, outcome-linked instruments, or MOB, we deliver the full ecosystem required to execute with confidence.

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